Free NHL puck line calculator. Work out -1.5 and +1.5 payouts, the cover rate you need to break even, and the fair puck line price implied by the moneyline, with empty net goals and overtime grading rules built in.
The puck line is hockey's point spread, fixed at 1.5 goals in almost every game. A favorite at -1.5 must win by two or more goals. An underdog at +1.5 cashes by winning outright or losing by exactly one. Because the line never moves, the prices do: a heavy favorite might be -1.5 at even money while a slight favorite is -1.5 at +200.
Puck line payouts follow the standard odds formula. Convert the odds to decimal and multiply by your stake: $100 at +160 returns $260, which is $160 profit plus your stake. This calculator works in American, decimal or fractional odds and six currencies.
For each favorite moneyline, the table shows the implied win probability, our modeled chance that the favorite wins by two or more goals with empty net goals included, and the fair -1.5 price that chance implies. If your sportsbook offers better than the fair price, the -1.5 has value; if it offers worse, the moneyline or the +1.5 side is usually the better way in.
Methodology: regulation scoring is modeled as two independent Poisson processes summing to a 6.0 goal total, so goal margins follow the Skellam distribution. Overtime and shootout wins grade as one goal margins, and 30% of one goal regulation wins are widened by an empty net goal. Implied win probabilities are taken from the quoted moneyline, so they still carry the sportsbook margin. Last updated August 13, 2026.
| Favorite moneyline | Implied win % | Wins by 2+ goals | Fair -1.5 price |
|---|---|---|---|
| -120 | 54.5% | 34.5% | +190 (2.90) |
| -140 | 58.3% | 37.5% | +167 (2.67) |
| -160 | 61.5% | 40.1% | +149 (2.49) |
| -180 | 64.3% | 42.5% | +135 (2.35) |
| -200 | 66.7% | 44.6% | +124 (2.24) |
| -225 | 69.2% | 47.0% | +113 (2.13) |
| -250 | 71.4% | 49.1% | +104 (2.04) |
| -275 | 73.3% | 51.0% | -104 (1.96) |
| -300 | 75.0% | 52.7% | -111 (1.90) |
Two grading rules decide more puck line bets than anything else. First, overtime and shootout wins always grade as one goal margins: the shootout winner is credited with exactly one goal, so a -1.5 favorite can only cover in regulation. Second, empty net goals count in full. Trailing teams pull their goalie in the final minutes, and roughly three in ten one goal leads stretch to two. That is why favorites cover -1.5 more often than raw margins suggest, and why this calculator models it directly with a toggle.
The puck line is hockey's version of the point spread, set at 1.5 goals. The favorite at -1.5 must win by two or more goals, while the underdog at +1.5 covers by winning outright or losing by exactly one goal. Because the spread is fixed, sportsbooks move the odds instead of the line.
Hockey is low scoring and most games finish within one or two goals, so a moving spread would be too coarse. Books keep the line at 1.5 and price the two sides instead. For bigger spreads they offer alternate puck lines at 2.5 goals, which this calculator also prices.
Convert the odds to decimal and multiply by your stake. At +160 the decimal odds are 2.60, so $100 returns $260 for a $160 profit. At -200 the decimal odds are 1.50, so $100 returns $150 for a $50 profit. The calculator handles American, decimal and fractional odds automatically.
Overtime goals count, and a shootout win is graded as a one goal victory no matter how many rounds it takes. That means every overtime or shootout result is a one goal margin, so a -1.5 favorite can only cover in regulation time. The +1.5 underdog cashes every game that reaches overtime.
Yes, empty net goals count in full and they matter a lot. The trailing team pulls its goalie late, and roughly 30% of one goal wins stretch to two goals. This is the main reason favorites cover -1.5 more often than raw scoring margins suggest. The calculator includes an empty net adjustment you can turn off.
It scales with the strength of the favorite. Our model, with empty net goals included, puts a -120 favorite at about 35%, a -200 favorite at about 45%, and a -300 favorite at about 53%. The conversion table on this page lists the fair -1.5 price for each moneyline band.
Compare the chance of covering with the break even rate at each price. The moneyline wins more often but pays less; the -1.5 pays plus money but needs a two goal margin. Enter both prices and the calculator shows the expected value of each side so you can back the same team the cheaper way.
An alternate puck line moves the spread from 1.5 to 2.5 goals or more. A -2.5 favorite must win by three or more and pays much better odds, while a +2.5 underdog can lose by two and still cover. The calculator prices fair odds for the 2.5 goal alternates from the same margin model as the standard line.
A reverse puck line flips the usual sides: the favorite at +1.5 or the underdog at -1.5. Favorite +1.5 is a heavy price that only loses when the favorite loses by two or more. Underdog -1.5 is a long shot that needs the dog to win by two. Both are priced from the same margin distribution this page models.
Convert both sides to implied probability and divide each by their sum. If -1.5 at +170 implies 37.0% and +1.5 at -200 implies 66.7%, the total is 103.7%, so the no vig probabilities are 35.7% and 64.3% and the vig is 3.7%. The calculator does this for every pair of prices you enter.